05-14-2020, 12:28 AM
(05-13-2020, 11:27 PM)Merlin Wrote:(05-13-2020, 07:46 PM)dfrecore Wrote: We could get herd immunity from this, and more of us be safe, instead of shutting down the economy tying to keep everyone safe (which is NOT possible anyway, but I'll trade my safety for freedom thank you very much).
There is little evidence to suggest that herd immunity is a reasonable option with this virus. The few places that have tried it ended up backpedaling after their death rates skyrocketed.
David Dowdy at The Department of Epidemiology of Johns Hopkins University Wrote:To reach herd immunity for COVID-19, likely 70% or more of the population would need to be immune. Without a vaccine, over 200 million Americans would have to get infected before we reach this threshold. Put another way, even if the current pace of the COVID-19 pandemic continues in the United States – with over 25,000 confirmed cases a day – it will be well into 2021 before we reach herd immunity. If current daily death rates continue, over half a million Americans would be dead from COVID-19 by that time. Reference.
Sure, I'd like to see the businesses open back up. My livelihood depends on them to do so. But trading half a million lives to open things up a bit faster seems like an unfair trade IMO. Especially given it won't speed things up that much.
We are trading lives for lives. It's not like lives won't be lost because of this whole lockdown. Many, MANY lives will be lost over time because of this, in ways you can't even see yet. The repercussions will be unimaginable. Not to mention the amount of debt we're accruing - trillions of dollars, amounts that will affect my children for the rest of their lives, and my future grandchildren's lives someday. I think this will cause a depression that will take decades to recover from. I hope I'm wrong, but I think this will turn out to be an unmitigated disaster that will change our country for the worse.
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COURSES: TESU Capstone Study.com Pers Fin, Microecon, Stats Ed4Credit Acct 2 PF Fin Mgmt ALEKS Int & Coll Alg Sophia Proj Mgmt The Institutes - Ins Ethics Kaplan PLA